Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.069881 0.077503 0.085868 0.095776 0.107250 0.120191 0.135990
2024-10-06 0.059018 0.069467 0.081892 0.097951 0.118438 0.144102 0.179335
2024-10-13 0.050126 0.061633 0.076162 0.096253 0.123968 0.161900 0.219701
2024-10-20 0.044754 0.057036 0.073338 0.097225 0.132546 0.184999 0.273414
2024-10-27 0.040172 0.052676 0.069954 0.096513 0.138164 0.204620 0.327517
2024-11-03 0.037131 0.049946 0.068311 0.097815 0.146743 0.230488 0.400735
2024-11-10 0.034607 0.047597 0.066815 0.098942 0.155020 0.257594 0.486552
2024-11-17 0.032138 0.045028 0.064619 0.098498 0.160345 0.280435 0.573007
2024-11-24 0.030366 0.043312 0.063510 0.099629 0.168606 0.311069 0.692451
2024-12-01 0.028829 0.041799 0.062527 0.100775 0.177027 0.344335 0.837553
2024-12-08 0.027423 0.040354 0.061481 0.101612 0.184931 0.378764 1.008631
2024-12-15 0.026003 0.038760 0.060007 0.101415 0.190579 0.409506 1.190748
2024-12-22 0.024525 0.036983 0.058094 0.100212 0.194024 0.436456 1.385502
2024-12-29 0.023685 0.036214 0.057893 0.102396 0.205758 0.490798 1.753066
2025-01-05 0.022362 0.034518 0.055857 0.100545 0.207467 0.516583 2.020527
2025-01-12 0.021535 0.033624 0.055218 0.101555 0.216578 0.569646 2.516552
2025-01-19 0.020559 0.032397 0.053845 0.100792 0.220942 0.609004 3.002722
2025-01-26 0.019914 0.031718 0.053457 0.102167 0.231452 0.675807 3.844060
2025-02-02 0.019296 0.031043 0.053016 0.103360 0.241776 0.747890 4.956846
2025-02-09 0.018549 0.030082 0.051925 0.102889 0.247144 0.802936 6.112298
2025-02-16 0.018022 0.029498 0.051548 0.104087 0.257976 0.889500 8.105100
2025-02-23 0.017530 0.028948 0.051194 0.105300 0.269239 0.986630 10.973734
2025-03-02 0.017039 0.028370 0.050734 0.106187 0.279729 1.088530 14.998465